Panic, Plunge, Repeat

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GET IT RIGHT 🎯 


What’s Next? 🧩    

  

The sell-off everyone’s been doom-tweeting about finally showed up—and it didn’t knock politely. Nvidia reported another blowout quarter, its stock rocketed 5% at the open, the Dow leapt 700 points, and for a glorious 90 minutes it felt like the AI boom was break-dancing back to life.

Then, reality slapped everyone across the face.

By lunchtime, Nvidia was down 7%. The Dow erased all gains. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped like they had a date with gravity—3.5% and 4.5% below their morning highs. Bitcoin dove under $85,000 like it was auditioning for a role in Titanic. Altcoins followed because peer pressure is real.

Why? Because the market suddenly remembered, “Oh right, we’ve become wildly dependent on one GPU-selling deity named Jensen.”

Thrill Ride 🎢 

What does Nvidia’s mood swing have to do with bitcoin? Absolutely nothing. Just like April’s “tariff tantrum” had absolutely nothing to do with bitcoin. But that didn’t stop BTC from falling from $109K to $74K back then, because when markets panic, logic takes a long lunch.

And right now? Markets are doing their best impression of a toddler in a grocery aisle meltdown.

Margin debt in U.S. equities has ballooned to $1.1 trillion, up from $700 billion at the start of the year. When leverage trembles, everything gets sold—your favorite stock, your altcoins, your dignity—just to cover margin calls.

So yes, bitcoin could fall further. But here’s the part no one wants to hear: long-term gains don’t come from timing bottoms like some wizard. They come from identifying megatrends, buying quality, and holding through the chaos—no matter how violently the chaos screams.

It’s been true for Microsoft, Amazon, Oracle, Apple… and it’s been just as true for bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and every other blue-chip crypto that’s survived more drama than a Bravo reality show.

Market Signals 📶 

Feeling frustrated? Fair. In 2025, bitcoin is down 7% while the S&P is up 11% and gold is doing its best Beyoncé impression at +55%. But this setup isn’t new. In 2019–2020, Wall Street marched into crypto with fanfare—Fidelity, Goldman Sachs, the NYSE, even JPMorgan—and prices still face-planted for months.

Yet the megatrend bailed everyone out. Bitcoin soared 1,844% off the lows. BNB, ADA, and LINK delivered gains so absurd they looked fictional—after enduring 85% drawdowns.

RSI

Want to know when a market bottom might be near? Three signals are flashing:

1. RSI is bouncing off a low 36 – the same “oversold” level that marked the 2022 bear-market bottom.
2. ETF outflows are spiking – historically a sign sellers are exhausting themselves.
3. Fear & Greed Index is below 20 – a level that has preceded strong upside moves.

None of these time the exact day the pain stops—but together, they tell a story: panic is peaking.

Hang Tight 🌊 

Meanwhile, mass adoption is accelerating. A pro-crypto administration, new ETFs, governments adopting crypto rails, and BlackRock—yes, BlackRock—filing an Ethereum staking ETF.

If the world’s biggest asset manager isn’t panicking, maybe you shouldn’t either.

The long-term trajectory hasn’t changed. Not in 2018. Not in 2020. Not now.

Take a breath. Zoom out. The megatrend is still doing its job.

The AI Boom 💥 

Today’s conversation is all about AI. Why? Because pretending crypto is the only world-changing force right now is like pretending the internet was “just email.” Crypto and AI are the twin mega-trends of our lifetime, and ignoring either one is how you wake up in 2030 wondering why your boss is a robot named Carl-9000.

AI isn’t “coming.” It’s already baked into your phone, your computer, your shopping, your scrolling, your life. And in case you missed the memo, the world is using this stuff—a lot. ChatGPT now has 800 million weekly users, which is more than 10% of Earth’s adults. If this is a bubble, it’s the kind of bubble that fills stadiums.

“But isn’t AI overhyped?” Sure, if by “overhyped” you mean the most rapidly adopted consumer technology in human history… then yes, terribly overhyped.

“But companies are spending too much!” Right, because historically, companies that didn’t invest in major technological shifts have always done great. (Checks notes… Blockbuster, Sears, Blackberry—nevermind.)

Let’s look at the receipts.

AI Acceleration 🚄 

Even with corporations dragging their feet over security, compliance, and the fear that Karen in accounting will accidentally upload the quarterly earnings file to a suspicious chatbot, AI usage keeps rising. Headlines are starting to look like something from a sci-fi prophecy: AI replaces junior engineers, AI outperforms human analysts, AI redesigns AI… you get the idea.

And soon it won’t just live in laptops. It’ll drive cars, run factories, fly drones, and eventually show up on your doorstep politely asking if you’d like your lawn mowed by a robot with perfect edging precision.

Meanwhile, the Nasdaq—the index stuffed with companies that embraced every major tech shift for 20+ years—has been on a near-vertical long-term trajectory. Secular trends, baby. AI is the next one.

Who’s Paying? 💴 

Short answer: everyone.

Long answer: let’s start with you.

OpenAI’s revenue has exploded from $5.5 billion in late 2024 to a $10 billion run rate just months later. Analysts think it could become the fastest company in history to scale from $10B to $100B. There’s even chatter about an IPO at a $1 trillion valuation.

Open AI

Yes—trillion with a T. For a company that’s not even profitable yet. For doomers, this is peak “toppy.” For realists, it’s Tuesday.

But here’s the real money cannon: AI hyperscalers.
Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta are shoveling billions—billions—into AI infrastructure like it’s Black Friday at Costco. Why?

Because they want:

  • Users locked in early

  • Models that learn faster

  • Platforms no one can leave

  • And control over the biggest “picks and shovels” business since the actual gold rush

Their capex is rising fast, but still only about 50–60% of free cash flow. In other words, they’re funding the future using money they make today. A luxury only trillion-dollar giants enjoy.

Bubble Up 🫧 

Ask yourself this: Are you bullish on any company not investing in AI right now?

Didn’t think so.

AI and crypto aren’t just trends—they’re the tectonic plates the next century will be built on. Ignore them if you want. But don’t say you weren’t warned.


COIN SPOTLIGHT 🔍️ 

Three Plays to Watch 👓️ 

Crypto has spent the last couple of weeks performing a masterclass in disappointment. Bitcoin’s been leaking value like a punctured waterbed, and the rest of the market followed with Olympic-level synchronized drowning. Memecoins cratered. AI agents limped. Even “safe” bets looked like they needed emotional support.

No one can predict what comes next. But stretches like this aren’t moments for panic. They’re moments to zoom out, spot the emerging narratives, and position long before the crowd stops rage-quitting. Here are three emerging plays already taking shape.

  1. MegaETH 🪙 

    Yes, it’s another L2—but MegaETH isn’t a points-farm meme chain. It’s shaping up to be a legit powerhouse: 100K+ TPS, sub-10ms blocks, full EVM compatibility, and an accelerator that’s onboarding builders before mainnet (a rarity in L2 land). With testnet apps already running and backing from big a few big names, it’s looking more like a future top-five chain than another hype cycle.

    The move now: touch the testnet, watch early NFTs, and embed in the community before things go parabolic.

  2. HyperLiquid 🌊 

    HyperLiquid is loud, chaotic, and adored by the terminally online. Perfect. Some compare it to Solana 2.0—and when zooming out, the parallels hit hard:

  • Late-cycle launch (early 2025)

  • Brand-new chain (HyperEVM)

  • Hyper-aggressive community

  • And—most importantly—no investor unlocks ever

The Solana of 2020 rewarded early users with massive airdrops from protocols like Jupiter and Kamino. HyperLiquid is setting up a similar dynamic—except its core sector (perpetuals) is far more concrete than NFTs or vibes.

Positioning now includes learning the ecosystem, staking $HYPE on Kinetiq, touching every notable dapp monthly, and following the key HyperLiquid builders.

This isn’t an airdrop grind—it’s early entry into what could be a top-five token next cycle.

Hyperliquid

  1. Crypto Sports Betting 🎰 

    Sports NFTs flopped harder than a half-court brick. But sports betting? Bigger than ever—and now merging with on-chain rails.

    Polymarket is already partnered with X and exploding in volume. Beyond that, sports betting agents are emerging as one of the cycle’s most intriguing micro-narratives.

  • $DKING (soon SIRE): deploying $300M AUM into global soccer, with buybacks and passive-investment vaults.

  • Billy Bets: North American focus, re-launching on Base. Both run on Bittensor subnets, both trade under $10M caps, and both could rip in a sports-heavy season.

Zoom Out. Stay Ready. 🔭 

While memes are already bouncing, the message stands: short-term chop is noise. The real edge comes from positioning early—long before the next wave becomes obvious.

MegaETH, HyperLiquid, and crypto sports betting aren’t guaranteed winners, but they’re three narratives with legitimate traction and real upside potential once Bitcoin stabilizes.


STAGE RIGHT 🎬️     


NOTABLE QUOTES 📚️ 

“The light that you discover in your life is proportionate to the amount of the darkness you are willing to forthrightly confront.”
 
Jordan Peterson


GARAGE LOGIC ☕️

Man Clones Best Friend. 📆 

Colossal Bioscience has cloned former NFL star Tom Brady's dog, drawing the ire from some who are calling for a moratorium on pet cloning. Read more HERE.
 


FINAL SPIN 📽️ 


LAST CHAPTER 📺️ 


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